Our record, in the open.
Winners and losers both. Below is how we count, what each number actually means, and why the one everybody asks about — win rate — is the least useful metric on the page.
Rabbit Trades by the numbers
The published record
Results are recorded in R multiples, not in pounds or percent, because every member trades a different account size at a different risk level. One R is whatever you chose to risk on that trade.
| Month | Ideas posted | Wins | Losses | No fill | Net R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Month | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Month | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Month | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Month | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Month | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Read this before you read the table. These are the results of ideas as they were published — entry, stop and targets exactly as posted. They are not the results of any individual member's account. Your fills, your timing, your sizing and your discipline will produce a different number, and past results tell you nothing reliable about future ones.
What each metric actually tells you
Most trading marketing leans on the one statistic that's easiest to inflate. Here's how to judge any group's numbers — including ours.
Win rate
The percentage of trades that ended in profit. On its own it means almost nothing: a 90% win rate where every loss wipes out ten wins is a losing strategy. Anyone leading with win rate and nothing else is selling, not reporting.
R multiple
Profit or loss measured in units of the risk taken. Risk £100, make £300, that's +3R. Reporting in R makes results comparable across account sizes and impossible to flatter with an oversized position.
Expectancy
The average R gained or lost per trade over a long series — the number that decides whether an edge exists. (win% × avg win R) − (loss% × avg loss R). Anything above zero is an edge. Below zero, no amount of discipline saves it.
Maximum drawdown
The largest peak-to-trough fall in the record. This is the number that tells you whether you could have psychologically survived the strategy. A 40% drawdown looks fine on a chart and feels unbearable in a live account.
Sample size
Twenty trades tells you nothing — that's noise. A meaningful read on an edge needs hundreds. Treat any headline figure drawn from a handful of trades as marketing.
Losing streaks
With a 45% win rate, a run of six losses in a row is statistically routine — it will happen to you. Knowing that in advance is the difference between following a plan and abandoning it at the worst possible moment.
Expectancy calculator
Put in any group's numbers — or your own journal — and see whether the edge is real. This runs entirely in your browser and nothing is sent anywhere.
This is a simple arithmetic model, not a projection. It ignores compounding, slippage, spread, commission, swap, variance and the very real chance that your actual win rate differs from the one you typed in. Real results will not look like this.
How we count
Which trades go in the record?
Every idea posted to the community channel, with no exceptions. If it was published, it's counted — including the ones we'd rather forget.
How is a result decided?
Against the levels exactly as they were posted. If price hit the stop first, it's a loss at −1R. If it hit the final target, it's a win at the published R. Partial closes are counted at the published management plan. If price never reached the entry zone, it's logged as a no-fill and excluded from win rate.
Why R and not pips or pounds?
Pips ignore the stop distance, so a wide-stop trade looks identical to a tight-stop one. Pounds depend on account size and lot size, which differ for every member. R is the only unit that describes the actual quality of the decision.
Does this reflect what a member earned?
No, and it can't. Members enter at different prices, size differently, close early, skip trades and add their own. The record measures the published ideas, not anybody's account.
Can I see the individual trades?
Yes. The full log lives in the community channel with the original charts attached, timestamped when they were posted. Join and scroll back as far as you like.
Check the log yourself
Every idea, timestamped, with the chart attached. Free to join and free to scroll back through.